Soon the Recovery will Likely be the Rule and Death will be an Exception in COVID-19

Abstract

Since the cluster of cases of SARS-CoV-2 first reported in December 2019, the number of COIVD-19 cases have rapidly been increasing and deaths too but cumulative percentage of deaths have been decreasing since the April 2020 both worldwide and South Asian countries. Knowing the number of reported deaths during a period of the pandemic is not enough but knowing the number of excess deaths in a given population over the time may carry weight which is yet to be known globally. Also, the COVID-19 pandemic may lead to increased deaths from some other communicable diseases such as TB, dengue, and fewer deaths from some other causes such as road accidents. Hence, both reported mortality figures and excess mortality figures are required to understand the death toll of the pandemic COVID-19. Around one third patients are asymptomatic transmitting infection and among symptomatic, 80% mild to moderate disease managed as outpatients in home isolation; 15% develop lower respiratory tract infection require hospitalization and recover; 3-5% require intensive care and may need ventilator support and 0.5-1% of patients will die. We are of the opinion that in case of COVID-19, soon the recovery will likely be the rule and death will be an exception and our opinion is based on the facts of better understanding of COVID-19 infection and disease and its prevention, control and supportive treatment strategy even in absence efficacious vaccine for prevention and effective medicine for cure and prophylaxis. The condition is that if continue to follow non-pharmacological interventions for containment and mitigation with true public health spirit.